The FOMC meeting was a foregone conclusion nonevent. That is likely to be true of the next several meetings. Not changing rates partly reflects good news--the real economy is very strong and does not need cuts. And partly bad news--setbacks in progress on inflation.

From @CNBC, the day after the #FederalReserve's policy announcement and the Chair's press conference. So much for the effectiveness of the Fed's forward policy guidance. While the concept of forward policy guidance is sound, the way it has been implemented in recent years has… pic.twitter.com/8C1wVHYWEJ

As a follow-up to yesterday's #FederalReserve press conference, here are some thoughts on why Chair Powell's surprisingly dovish tone and context may end up being appropriate...though not for the reasons he put forward. www.ft.com/content/aa8c68f7-9dad-465f-ab92-c64c38337a84 #economy @FT #markets #inflation

The Fed's general intuitions -- not getting overly excited about the disinflation of the second half of 2023, and then also not getting overly excited about the warming in Q1 2024 -- not looking too bad.