Fed minutes have a few hawkish details:
- "Many participants commented on their uncertainty about the degree of restrictiveness"
- "Various participants mentioned a willingness to tighten policy further" if needed
www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20240501.pdf
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Nick Timiraos
NickTimiraos
Waller addresses the critique that the Fed is "overly data dependent"
This "doesn't make sense to me" given how little the SEP has changed between over the last 12 months
Terminal rate projection was consistently around 5.1%-5.6%
Q4 2024 rate has been around 4.7%, +/- 0.4 pp pic.twitter.com/rhpCvhrGoM