News about inflation

“As the US reported the latest in a string of poor #inflation figures, markets reined in their forecasts for rate cuts by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, as well as by the Fed itself.” As captured by this @FT quote, the markets’ repricing of central bank cuts… pic.twitter.com/GNDAxFYRKT

Looking forward to the #FederalReserve's policy meeting next week: Not just the recent elevated readings of actual #inflation will make officials a little uncomfortable about the dovish December pivot. Forward expectations have also moved up. At 3.2% for the next year,…

The optimistic perspective on inflation is that latest numbers are noise so better off smoothing over 6 or 12 months. The pessimistic perspective on inflation is that it is turning back up. pic.twitter.com/xyMis7Z3ue

Core PCE inflation over the last 3 months was a 4.4% annual rate. That is higher than any time from Nov 1990 to Mar 2021. Yes, there were special factors, seasonal issues, etc. But there were also special factors & seasonal issues at various times in those previous 30 years.