News about Iran

“History shows that military entanglements can either entrench or unravel authoritarian regimes,” says @ksadjadpour. But ultimately, the battle for the country’s future will be fought by Iranians. More from Karim in @nytimes: www.nytimes.com/2025/06/23/opinion/iran-iranians-regime.html

“On the one hand, the Iranian regime is wobbling. On the other, the organic Iranian opposition has been targeted with ruthless lethality by security services that have proven efficient in targeting dissidents.” ⁦@EliLake⁩ in @TheFP: www.thefp.com/p/what-happens-if-irans-regime-collapses?taid=6858b677efd4ac0001fbc8f3&utm_medium=social

Although the crisis has not yet checked all the boxes that would signal fatal regime vulnerability, the situation could change quickly due to shifting conditions on the battlefield, on the streets, or within the halls of power in Tehran, writes @hdagres. www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/islamic-republic-starting-crack-signs-watch

New from @hdagres: "Despite internal rot from systemic corruption and deep Israeli infiltration, the Islamic Republic is surviving for now" but it can become increasingly vulnerable under certain conditions. www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/islamic-republic-starting-crack-signs-watch