News about interest rates, the Fed

Looking forward to the #FederalReserve's policy meeting next week: Not just the recent elevated readings of actual #inflation will make officials a little uncomfortable about the dovish December pivot. Forward expectations have also moved up. At 3.2% for the next year,…

According to the just-released data, March headline and core PCE #inflation are slightly higher than the consensus forecasts (2.7 vs. 2.6 and 2.8 vs 2.7). Having said that, the miss is smaller than yesterday, and the monthly readings are in line. Meanwhile, personal spending rose…

Core PCE inflation over the last 3 months was a 4.4% annual rate. That is higher than any time from Nov 1990 to Mar 2021. Yes, there were special factors, seasonal issues, etc. But there were also special factors & seasonal issues at various times in those previous 30 years.

Core PCE inflation, annualized rates: 1 month: 3.9% 3 months: 4.4% 6 months: 3.0% 12 months: 2.8% pic.twitter.com/fnoRWNhW6W