Posts on X
Formerly TwitterJason Furman
jasonfurman
Core PCE inflation came in above the Fed's target for the 4th straight month. But it moderated from Q1 and the elevation was entirely due to imputed portfolio fees resulting from the strong stock market.
Annual rates:
1 month: 3.0%
3 months: 3.5%
6 months: 3.2%
12 months: 2.8% pic.twitter.com/FHtSAVejI6
Posted on X
Gregory Daco
GregDaco
High Interest Rates Are Working, Fed's Williams Says
“…sees inflation, as measured by PCE price index, falling to about 2.5% by the end of this year before moving closer to 2% next year. He sees the unemployment rate reaching about 4% at year end”
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-30/fed-s-williams-says-ample-evidence-that-policy-is-restrictive
Posted on X
Gregory Daco
GregDaco
“Perhaps the Fed’s mantra, instead of higher for longer, should be higher indefinitely until inflation moves more convincingly in the desired direction” via Dudley
➡️ There is a case for short-term r* to be higher but this is misleading casual analysis⤵️
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-05-30/federal-reserve-inflation-fight-might-be-a-miscalculation
Posted on X
All coverage
What Fed Hikes? Much of America's Consumer Debt Is Still Riding Ultralow Interest Rates
By Rachel Louise Ensign
Federal Reserve raises US interest rates to highest level in 22 years
By Colby Smith and Kate Duguid
Fed raises interest rates to highest in 22 years
By Natalie Sherman
The Fed hikes interest rates by a quarter point and hints at another increase this year
By Bryan Mena
Fed Set to Raise Rates to 22-Year High. Here's What to Focus On.
By Nick Timiraos
Fed recap: Details from the Federal Reserve's July hike and Powell's market-moving comments
By Darla Mercado
Federal Reserve Meeting: Fed Raises Rates Again
By Jeanna Smialek, Joseph Smith and Joe Rennison
Fed raises interest rates again, leaves another hike on table
By Paul Davidson, Bailey Schulz and Charisse Jones