They're still 50% (well 45%) to win, per betting markets. But Biden has been behind Trump in polls for a year now. His approval is in the tank, and voters have been clear they think he's too old. If Trump wins, history will not remember Biden kindly. www.axios.com/2024/05/14/biden-polls-denial-trump-2024-election

Trump ahead in a new set of Times/Siena polls of the battleground states Biden remaining competitive among likely voters in PA, MI, and WI while Trump holds a significant Sun Belt lead www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/politics/biden-trump-battleground-poll.html

Sunday show hosts keep asking Republicans if they'll accept the election results, and their answers indicate they won't unless Trump wins. It's just not a sustainable situation for democracy. pic.twitter.com/bOXSXQolAV

New NYT/Siena poll shows Biden trailing Trump in most battleground states. Notably, the same poll finds that Senate Democratic candidates are significantly overperforming Biden and holding their own. www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/politics/biden-trump-battleground-poll.html pic.twitter.com/by7PQaPjAv