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Formerly TwitterJason Furman
jasonfurman
GDP growth was < yesterday's expectation & slightly below what was expected in Feb. But well above what we had expected earlier.
Survey of Professional Forecasters expectations for real GDP in Q1:
Feb-23: 1.3%
May-23: 1.0%
Aug-23: 1.1%
Nov-23: 0.8%
Feb-23: 2.1%
Actual: 1.6%
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Nick Timiraos
NickTimiraos
Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 1.6% in the first quarter of 2024
A broad measure of U.S. economic demand—real final sales to private domestic purchasers, which excludes trade, inventories and government spending—increased at a 3.1% rate
www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/us-gdp-economy-first-quarter-2024-1675df05?mod=economy_lead_story pic.twitter.com/KO9z7dcL72
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Gregory Daco
GregDaco
🇺🇸US Economy Disappoints for the Right Reasons
📉 Real #GDP only advanced 1.6% annualized in Q1 2024, following strong +3.4% in Q4 '23
But while the headline print missed expectations by a mile, most of the shortfall stemmed from stronger imports pulled in by solid final demand pic.twitter.com/o6nwsIDCjv
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Gregory Daco
GregDaco
🇺🇸 US Economy: Disappointing Spring🌸
📉Real #GDP in Q1 2024
✅+1.6% q/q
✅+3.0% y/y
🛒Consumer +2.5%
🏘️Resid +13.9%
👩💻Biz invest +2.9%
🔻Inventory -0.4pt
📦Trade -0.9pt (strong imports⚠️)
🏦Gov +1.2%
📉PCE #inflation
⤵️Headline 2.6% y/y (-0.2pt)
⤵️Core 2.9% (-0.3pt) pic.twitter.com/DGRqKIzOh3
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