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Philip Klotzbach
philklotzbach
ECMWF calls for busy Atlantic #hurricane season with ~21 named storms, ~11 hurricanes and Accumulated Cyclone Energy 200% of normal (~250 total ACE) between July-December. Ensemble average calls for borderline #LaNina and very warm Atlantic for Aug-Oct (peak of Atlantic season) pic.twitter.com/Vrs8JGdQ92
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Philip Klotzbach
philklotzbach
No named storms (>=39 mph) have formed in Western Hemisphere (e.g., eastern North Pacific or North Atlantic) so far this year. National #Hurricane Center does not anticipate formation in next 7 days. The last time that Western Hemisphere had 0 named storms thru June 11 was 2009. pic.twitter.com/iC2dNq4VeS
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Brian McNoldy
BMcNoldy
Since we won't see a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic today, 2024 will have the latest first named storm in a decade. In 2014, TS Arthur formed on July 1. When will Alberto form this year? #HurricaneSeason pic.twitter.com/UFw5EcKzYh
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Brian McNoldy
BMcNoldy
Since 1950, ENSO shifted from El Niño in Mar-Apr-May to La Niña by Aug-Sep-Oct only three times: 1983, 1998, and 2016 (1973, 1995, 2010 *almost* made the list). How did Atlantic hurricane season ACE end up during those years? A mixed bag, but my $$ wouldn't be on 1983 this time. pic.twitter.com/BQ7r7HUANl
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